{"id":110,"date":"2021-10-27T14:16:39","date_gmt":"2021-10-27T12:16:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/?page_id=110"},"modified":"2023-09-29T12:15:40","modified_gmt":"2023-09-29T10:15:40","slug":"icm-epidemiological-model","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/","title":{"rendered":"ICM Epidemiological Model"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"110\" class=\"elementor elementor-110\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-71a25302 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"74643\" data-id=\"71a25302\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-273412c2\" data-eae-slider=\"96978\" data-id=\"273412c2\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5600dc57 elementor-position-right elementor-vertical-align-middle footer-menu-items elementor-widget elementor-widget-image-box\" data-id=\"5600dc57\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-image-box-wrapper\"><figure class=\"elementor-image-box-img\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"404\" height=\"340\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/FRakowski-e1636369164877.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-1373\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/FRakowski-e1636369164877.png 404w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/FRakowski-e1636369164877-300x252.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 404px) 100vw, 404px\" \/><\/figure><div class=\"elementor-image-box-content\"><h3 class=\"elementor-image-box-title\">Dr. Franciszek Rakowski<\/h3><p class=\"elementor-image-box-description\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-arrow-alt-circle-right contact-arrow\"><\/i><a href=\"#1\">Email<\/a><br><\/p><\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1c9713b5 linear-wipe elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"1c9713b5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">ICM Epidemiological Model \n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-62fc340c elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"62fc340c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">spatially and contextually resolving<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4b89fe1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4b89fe1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe ICM Epidemiological Model describes the development of the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland. It is capable of  forecasting potential paths of further epidemic development, as well as simulating various scenarios and effects introduced by dynamically applied administrative restrictions.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7ff1e692 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7ff1e692\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tWe provide the results of short time predictions as well as possible variants of the spread of the epidemic in longer time scales assuming appropriate restrictions or parameters of the disease.\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1146ea9a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1146ea9a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe main idea of \u200b\u200bthe model is to utilize the possibly full representation of the social structure of the country to the level of individual people residing in Poland and their contacts. This approach offers potentially great opportunities, but it is also associated with enormous analytical and programming work and a constant struggle to obtain the data needed to construct and calibrate the model. However, we already have some practice in this.\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9496fca elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9496fca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Our model is spatially and contextually resolving.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This means that we can follow the spreading of the epidemic on a geographic grid at a resolution of 1 km2 and that the physical contacts through which the virus is transmitted take place in various types of places characteristic of our lives. Currently, we have defined separate categories: households, workplaces, kindergartens, schools, colleges, travel, and random street meetings.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0e03615 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0e03615\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The course of the disease that each virtual inhabitant undergoes in our model corresponds to the typical course of the COVID-19 disease. However, the key parameters of the model, i.e. the baseline virus transmissibility and our tendency to leave home with mild symptoms, are calibrated, in Bayesian fashion, to the actual course of the epidemic.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d0d85b elementor-tabs-view-vertical elementor-widget elementor-widget-tabs\" data-id=\"3d0d85b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"tabs.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs-wrapper\" role=\"tablist\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6401\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6401\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Current forecast<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6402\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6402\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Prediction of the maximum occupancy of hospitals<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6403\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"3\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6403\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Excessive number of deaths in 2020<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6404\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"4\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6404\" aria-expanded=\"false\">New cases<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6405\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"5\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6405\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Counties<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6406\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"6\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6406\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Agreement of simulation and data at regional level<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6407\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"7\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6407\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Virus variants<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6408\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"8\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6408\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Infections in age groups<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-title-6409\" class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-desktop-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"9\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6409\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Infections in contexts<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tabs-content-wrapper\" role=\"tablist\" aria-orientation=\"vertical\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6401\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Current forecast<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6401\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6401\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"false\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1420\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"3125\" height=\"2083\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f.png 3125w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f-1536x1024.png 1536w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/current-f-2048x1365.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 3125px) 100vw, 3125px\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6402\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Prediction of the maximum occupancy of hospitals<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6402\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6402\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1319\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2390\" height=\"1000\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng.png 2390w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng-1024x428.png 1024w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng-768x321.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng-1536x643.png 1536w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/hospitalizacjeeng-2048x857.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2390px) 100vw, 2390px\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"3\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6403\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Excessive number of deaths in 2020<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6403\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"3\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6403\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/zgony_plot_en-3-e1636360719100.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1320\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/zgony_plot_en-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"3166\" height=\"1500\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"4\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6404\" aria-expanded=\"false\">New cases<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6404\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"4\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6404\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\"><p>New cases in voivodeships, results of simulation and official data.<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1464\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"3255\" height=\"2611\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases.png 3255w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases-300x241.png 300w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases-1024x821.png 1024w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases-768x616.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases-1536x1232.png 1536w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/newcases-2048x1643.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 3255px) 100vw, 3255px\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"5\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6405\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Counties<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6405\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"5\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6405\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\">Maps of counties \u2013 number per 100k inhabitants: (i) new cases at maximum of coming wave (model data, with dark figure included); (ii) total expected number of deaths; (iii) and (iv) hospitalized patients and patients of ICU at maximum of coming wave; (v) vaccinations.\n\n<br><br>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1404\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"1411\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k.png 1200w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k-255x300.png 255w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k-871x1024.png 871w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiats100k-768x903.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"6\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6406\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Agreement of simulation and data at regional level<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6406\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"6\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6406\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\">Map of regional agreement (at counties level) of new cases and deaths, colors correspond to place at RMSD rank; histograms of RMDS for new cases and deaths.\n\n<br>\n<br>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1406\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"617\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1.png 1200w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1-1024x527.png 1024w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement1-768x395.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a>\n\n<br>\n<br>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1407\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2990\" height=\"1113\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2.png 2990w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2-300x112.png 300w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2-1024x381.png 1024w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2-768x286.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2-1536x572.png 1536w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/powiatsagreement2-2048x762.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2990px) 100vw, 2990px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"7\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6407\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Virus variants<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6407\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"7\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6407\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\">New cases of infections by virus variants\n\n<br><br>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1408\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1701\" height=\"2660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants.png 1701w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants-192x300.png 192w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants-655x1024.png 655w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants-768x1201.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants-982x1536.png 982w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/virusvariants-1310x2048.png 1310w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1701px) 100vw, 1701px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"8\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6408\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Infections in age groups<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6408\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"8\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6408\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\">Temporal dependences of number of new cases, in age groups.\n\n<br><br>\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1409\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1701\" height=\"2660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups.png 1701w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups-192x300.png 192w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups-655x1024.png 655w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups-768x1201.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups-982x1536.png 982w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/infectionagegroups-1310x2048.png 1310w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1701px) 100vw, 1701px\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-tab-title elementor-tab-mobile-title\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"9\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"elementor-tab-content-6409\" aria-expanded=\"false\">Infections in contexts<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"elementor-tab-content-6409\" class=\"elementor-tab-content elementor-clearfix\" data-tab=\"9\" role=\"tabpanel\" aria-labelledby=\"elementor-tab-title-6409\" tabindex=\"0\" hidden=\"hidden\"><p>Temporal dependence of number of new infections in contexts.<\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-2998 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1730\" height=\"2660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2.png 1730w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2-195x300.png 195w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2-666x1024.png 666w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2-768x1181.png 768w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2-999x1536.png 999w, https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/contexts2-1332x2048.png 1332w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1730px) 100vw, 1730px\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-79cc0b2b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"89682\" data-id=\"79cc0b2b\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-24214345\" data-eae-slider=\"78694\" data-id=\"24214345\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-639596 elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"639596\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-md elementor-animation-shrink\" href=\"https:\/\/covid-19.icm.edu.pl\/en\/current-forecasts\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">View Current forecast<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-26f92ab elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"78569\" data-id=\"26f92ab\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3346276b\" data-eae-slider=\"80150\" data-id=\"3346276b\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-77d6c0bb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"77d6c0bb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Simulation of the spread of COVID-19 in Poland<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9c15c85 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9c15c85\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe first version of the ICM Epidemiological Model was created in 2008-2010, published in scientific articles. As a result, we now have a model that works at nationwide level, it reflects well the actual epidemiological situation and has great development potential to study detailed effects on the dynamics of epidemics.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-a6dfefd elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"80095\" data-id=\"a6dfefd\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-13ca11b\" data-eae-slider=\"28808\" data-id=\"13ca11b\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-37999f4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"37999f4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;autoplay&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;mute&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;hosted&quot;,&quot;controls&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-hosted-video elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<video class=\"elementor-video\" src=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/epidemic.webm\" autoplay=\"\" controls=\"\" muted=\"muted\" controlsList=\"nodownload\"><\/video>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-5737e44\" data-eae-slider=\"8757\" data-id=\"5737e44\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-92913b3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"92913b3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;youtube_url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/watch?v=Q00VrIZ69RY&quot;,&quot;mute&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;youtube&quot;,&quot;controls&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-video\"><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7a4bdb6 elementor-hidden-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default elementor-invisible\" data-eae-slider=\"18606\" data-id=\"7a4bdb6\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-c6d167c\" data-eae-slider=\"5629\" data-id=\"c6d167c\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cd16bc4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"cd16bc4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Model data visualization in the Visnow platform<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6cd553a eae--vr-position-bottom eae--hr-position-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-eae-thumbgallery\" data-id=\"6cd553a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;thumb_slides_per_view&quot;:4,&quot;thumb_slides_per_view_tablet&quot;:3,&quot;thumb_slides_per_view_mobile&quot;:2,&quot;thumb_space_between&quot;:10,&quot;thumb_space_between_tablet&quot;:10,&quot;thumb_space_between_mobile&quot;:5,&quot;slider_space_between&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;slider_space_between_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:15,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;slider_space_between_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"eae-thumbgallery.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-outer-wrapper eae-swiper\" data-swiper-settings=\"{&quot;breakpoints_value&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:320,&quot;tablet&quot;:768,&quot;desktop&quot;:1025},&quot;thumbs&quot;:{&quot;spaceBetween&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:5,&quot;tablet&quot;:10,&quot;default&quot;:10},&quot;slidesPerView&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:2,&quot;tablet&quot;:3,&quot;default&quot;:4}},&quot;effect&quot;:&quot;slide&quot;,&quot;speed&quot;:500,&quot;autoplay&quot;:{&quot;duration&quot;:5000,&quot;reverseDirection&quot;:false,&quot;slider_direction&quot;:&quot;ltr&quot;,&quot;disableOnInteraction&quot;:true},&quot;pauseOnHover&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;spaceBetween&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:1,&quot;tablet&quot;:1,&quot;default&quot;:10},&quot;loop&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;navigation&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;clickable&quot;:false,&quot;keyboard&quot;:true}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-container swiper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-wrapper swiper-wrapper slider_vertical_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-7b06d4a eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Distribution of agents on Warsaw territory with assignment to address points<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-8be93ba eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow2-dojazdy-e1636376525828.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Agents commuting to work<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-bda71d4 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow1-dojazdy-e1636376539232.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Agents' commuting to work, zoom (Warsaw, Lodz...)<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-4220a32 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow4-histogram-e1636376600645.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Fragment of visualisation of agents' normalised access to public services<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-6f128c5 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/wizualizacja-bledu-w-rozkladzie-e1636376571747.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Visualization showing an error in the data<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class = \" eae-swiper-button eae-slider-nav-button  eae-swiper-button-prev\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fa fa-angle-left\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class = \"eae-swiper-button eae-slider-nav-button eae-swiper-button-next\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fa fa-angle-right\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-thumb-container swiper eae-gallery-thumbs eae-thumb-horizontal-bottom\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-thumb-wrapper swiper-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-7b06d4a eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-8be93ba eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow2-dojazdy-e1636376525828.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-bda71d4 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow1-dojazdy-e1636376539232.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-4220a32 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow4-histogram-e1636376600645.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-6f128c5 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/wizualizacja-bledu-w-rozkladzie-e1636376571747.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div> \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6bf3c0a elementor-hidden-desktop elementor-hidden-tablet elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default elementor-invisible\" data-eae-slider=\"84847\" data-id=\"6bf3c0a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-143c94d\" data-eae-slider=\"62259\" data-id=\"143c94d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-205d7ab elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"205d7ab\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Model data visualization in the Visnow platform<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3124420 eae--vr-position-bottom eae--hr-position-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-eae-thumbgallery\" data-id=\"3124420\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;thumb_slides_per_view&quot;:4,&quot;thumb_slides_per_view_tablet&quot;:3,&quot;thumb_slides_per_view_mobile&quot;:2,&quot;thumb_space_between&quot;:10,&quot;thumb_space_between_tablet&quot;:10,&quot;thumb_space_between_mobile&quot;:5,&quot;slider_space_between&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;slider_space_between_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:15,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;slider_space_between_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:10,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]}}\" data-widget_type=\"eae-thumbgallery.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-outer-wrapper eae-swiper\" data-swiper-settings=\"{&quot;breakpoints_value&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:320,&quot;tablet&quot;:768,&quot;desktop&quot;:1025},&quot;thumbs&quot;:{&quot;spaceBetween&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:5,&quot;tablet&quot;:10,&quot;default&quot;:10},&quot;slidesPerView&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:2,&quot;tablet&quot;:3,&quot;default&quot;:4}},&quot;effect&quot;:&quot;slide&quot;,&quot;speed&quot;:500,&quot;autoplay&quot;:{&quot;duration&quot;:5000,&quot;reverseDirection&quot;:false,&quot;slider_direction&quot;:&quot;ltr&quot;,&quot;disableOnInteraction&quot;:true},&quot;pauseOnHover&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;spaceBetween&quot;:{&quot;mobile&quot;:1,&quot;tablet&quot;:1,&quot;default&quot;:10},&quot;loop&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;navigation&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;clickable&quot;:false,&quot;keyboard&quot;:true}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-container swiper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-swiper-wrapper swiper-wrapper slider_vertical_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-7b06d4a eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Distribution of agents on Warsaw territory with assignment to address points<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-8be93ba eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow2-dojazdy-e1636376525828.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Agents commuting to work<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-bda71d4 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow1-dojazdy-e1636376539232.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Agents' commuting to work, zoom (Warsaw, Lodz...)<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-4220a32 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow4-histogram-e1636376600645.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Fragment of visualisation of agents' normalised access to public services<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-6f128c5 eae-swiper-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/wizualizacja-bledu-w-rozkladzie-e1636376571747.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-inner\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-slide-text\">Visualization showing an error in the data<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class = \" eae-swiper-button eae-slider-nav-button  eae-swiper-button-prev\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fa fa-angle-left\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class = \"eae-swiper-button eae-slider-nav-button eae-swiper-button-next\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fa fa-angle-right\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-thumb-container swiper eae-gallery-thumbs eae-thumb-horizontal-bottom\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"eae-thumb-wrapper swiper-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-7b06d4a eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-8be93ba eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow2-dojazdy-e1636376525828.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-bda71d4 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow1-dojazdy-e1636376539232.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-4220a32 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow4-histogram-e1636376600645.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t   \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-repeater-item-6f128c5 eae-thumb-slide swiper-slide\" style=\"background-image : url(https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/wizualizacja-bledu-w-rozkladzie-e1636376571747.png);\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class='eae-fit-aspect-ratio'><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t \n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div> \n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b4551c0 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"70531\" data-id=\"b4551c0\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-09ed790\" data-eae-slider=\"55611\" data-id=\"09ed790\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9257665 elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"9257665\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-md elementor-animation-shrink broken_link\" href=\"https:\/\/covid-19.icm.edu.pl\/en\/analyzes-and-scenarios\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Anlyzes and scenarios<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9d83045 elementor-hidden-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"70548\" data-id=\"9d83045\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-579e1ad\" data-eae-slider=\"56366\" data-id=\"579e1ad\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4962010 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4962010\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Papers<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2597827 elementor-icon-list--layout-traditional elementor-list-item-link-full_width elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-list\" data-id=\"2597827\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-list.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-021-25207-0\" target=\"_blank\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-book\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b3b16bb elementor-hidden-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"4706\" data-id=\"b3b16bb\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2407feb\" data-eae-slider=\"234\" data-id=\"2407feb\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4576fe8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4576fe8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Partners<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c43eb9d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c43eb9d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe ICM team cooperates on an ongoing basis with the Minister of Health and the Department of Analyzes and Strategies of the Ministry of Health and the Government Center for Security (RCB). We are a member of the COVID-19 epidemic monitoring and forecasting team appointed by the Minister of Health. It is with great satisfaction that we cooperate with other teams modeling the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland: the MOCOS group from the Wroc\u0142aw University of Technology, the team of prof. A. Gambin from MiMUW, and modeling teams from PZH (prof. M. Rosi\u0144ska) and Ministry of Health.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-715c780 elementor-hidden-desktop elementor-hidden-tablet elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-eae-slider=\"75944\" data-id=\"715c780\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"has_eae_slider elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0cf23a3\" data-eae-slider=\"23171\" data-id=\"0cf23a3\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-37f44c9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"37f44c9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Papers<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1ac01a4 elementor-icon-list--layout-traditional elementor-list-item-link-full_width elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-list\" data-id=\"1ac01a4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-list.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-021-25207-0\" target=\"_blank\">\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-book\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave.<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-36cf29e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"36cf29e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Partners<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-63d543d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"63d543d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe ICM team cooperates on an ongoing basis with the Minister of Health and the Department of Analyzes and Strategies of the Ministry of Health and the Government Center for Security (RCB). We are a member of the COVID-19 epidemic monitoring and forecasting team appointed by the Minister of Health. It is with great satisfaction that we cooperate with other teams modeling the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland: the MOCOS group from the Wroc\u0142aw University of Technology, the team of prof. A. Gambin from MiMUW, and modeling teams from PZH (prof. M. Rosi\u0144ska) and Ministry of Health.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr. Franciszek Rakowski Email ICM Epidemiological Model spatially and contextually resolving The ICM Epidemiological Model describes the development of the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland. It is capable of forecasting potential paths of further epidemic development, as well as simulating various scenarios and effects introduced by dynamically applied administrative restrictions.We provide the results of short time [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1448,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-110","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pl_PL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dr. Franciszek Rakowski Email ICM Epidemiological Model spatially and contextually resolving The ICM Epidemiological Model describes the development of the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland. It is capable of forecasting potential paths of further epidemic development, as well as simulating various scenarios and effects introduced by dynamically applied administrative restrictions.We provide the results of short time [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-09-29T10:15:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"981\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"522\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Szacowany czas czytania\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"7 minut\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/\",\"name\":\"ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-10-27T12:16:39+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-09-29T10:15:40+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"pl-PL\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"pl-PL\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png\",\"width\":981,\"height\":522},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Strona g\u0142\u00f3wna\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"ICM Epidemiological Model\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/\",\"name\":\"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811\",\"description\":\"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"pl-PL\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/","og_locale":"pl_PL","og_type":"article","og_title":"ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","og_description":"Dr. Franciszek Rakowski Email ICM Epidemiological Model spatially and contextually resolving The ICM Epidemiological Model describes the development of the COVID-19 epidemic in Poland. It is capable of forecasting potential paths of further epidemic development, as well as simulating various scenarios and effects introduced by dynamically applied administrative restrictions.We provide the results of short time [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/","og_site_name":"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","article_modified_time":"2023-09-29T10:15:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":981,"height":522,"url":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png","type":"image\/png"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Szacowany czas czytania":"7 minut"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/","url":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/","name":"ICM Epidemiological Model - SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png","datePublished":"2021-10-27T12:16:39+00:00","dateModified":"2023-09-29T10:15:40+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"pl-PL","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"pl-PL","@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/visnow3-warszawa-e1636376514625.png","width":981,"height":522},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/icm-epidemiological-model\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Strona g\u0142\u00f3wna","item":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"ICM Epidemiological Model"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/#website","url":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/","name":"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","description":"SC21 ICM Univ of Warsaw #811","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"pl-PL"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/110","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110"}],"version-history":[{"count":161,"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/110\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4491,"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/110\/revisions\/4491"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sc21.icm.edu.pl\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}